UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update – Coronavirus – Virginia Department of Health

Key Takeaways

  • COVID19 cases continue to rise at a steady pace across the Commonwealth, with 26 of 35 Health Districts in “surge”.
  • Although still surging in most of the state, cases are beginning to plateau, led by slowing or even declining cases in some populous areas of the state.
  • Modeling indicates that in the short-term, mask-usage and social distancing is the most effective countermeasure against Delta in the short term.
  • A repeat of surges seen last September and over the holidays could lead to higher peaks, or sustained high case levels. Increased vaccinations could prevent tens of thousands of winter cases.

Weekly Modeling Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.

Source